We calculated whether the reduction in economic activity contributes to CO2 reduction
I thought that one of the few benefits of most economic activity being halted is a temporary reduction in CO2 emissions. I thought it would be nice if we could reduce the amount of CO2 emissions generated by the recent fires in Australia. When I looked into it, I found that the amount of CO9 emitted by those bushfires was about half of Australia's annual emissions (XNUMX million tons).
https://www.gizmodo.jp/2020/01/australias-bushfires-have-likely-doubled-the-nations-ca.html
Global CO2016 emissions in 2 were 323 billion tons, so that fire alone is likely to have increased global annual emissions by about 3%.
I think the current self-restraint on economic activity has been continuing worldwide for about a month. If we assume that the reduction effect of the current self-restraint is -1% compared to normal times (30%) 70/1 x 12 = 0.7%, and by sheer coincidence, it feels like the CO3.3 emissions from the Australian wildfires have been eliminated just for this month. If self-restraint continues for a long time, it looks like the reduction effect will prevail for this fiscal year only. (From next year onwards, there will be a negative effect due to the lack of CO2 reduction effects that were supposed to be absorbed by forests.)
As I was reading the newspaper this morning with this in mind, I came across an article that completely overturned the above calculation.
https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO57665710T00C20A4EA1000/
China, the largest supplier of solar panels, said, "The suspension of factory operations is having a major impact on exports of parts to overseas markets." In India, the completion of 300 million kilowatts of solar power plants is in danger of being postponed, and a similar situation is occurring in the Philippines. A European think tank has predicted that the amount of new wind power generation installed worldwide in 20 will be 4.9 gigawatts lower than initially expected.
That's what I'm talking about. . .
I believe that the current coronavirus shock is one of the biggest events outside of war, but I believe that we must use it as an opportunity for the entire world to recognize again that the negative effects of global warming are said to far exceed this.
